Tuesday, June 1, 2010

The Canucks Raise Interest Rates

"Risk aversion be damned. Like an understudy seizing her moment, Canada's central bank on Tuesday stepped forward to raise its target lending rate by a quarter percentage point to 0.5%.

In doing so, Canada not only became the first Group of Seven nation to raise interest rates, but also did so at a time when many peers probably wish they could lower theirs even further.

The Canadian economy's performance has certainly been impressive, growing at an average 5.5% annualized pace over the past two quarters. The unemployment rate has dropped from 8.7% last summer to 8.1% in April, near its 7.5% average of the past 15 years, according to Capital Economics. And consumer prices are running about 2% higher than a year ago, in the middle of the Bank of Canada's 1% to 3% target range.

Contrast that with the U.S., where unemployment is near 10% and inflation is falling toward zero. That, apparently, is what avoiding a real-estate bubble can do for you. Canada's move shows that policy makers there, as in China, are trying to learn from that lesson. To such a degree, in fact, that they were willing to tighten even as global financial markets tumble and the price of oil, the country's key export, has dived as much as 20% since early April.

Who says central bankers are spineless?"

from The Wall Street Journal